Dragon Users Forum

[calleharnemark]

That is my point. Statistics and odds tell nothing about what actually happens. It only tells how big the chances are and what the possibilities are. In real life statistics doesn't matter and you usually doesn't even know them when you take a risk.

And my point is that when you have a very large sample of data that is nowhere near fitting the statistics, chances are that something is wrong, not just that it is weird chance.

I agree. But that is the fun thing with risks. But if you want to collect data sure... If we go back on topip: is this a large sample of data enough to tell if dragons are bugged?

[Ratburntro44]

That is my point. Statistics and odds tell nothing about what actually happens. It only tells how big the chances are and what the possibilities are. In real life statistics doesn't matter and you usually doesn't even know them when you take a risk.

And my point is that when you have a very large sample of data that is nowhere near fitting the statistics, chances are that something is wrong, not just that it is weird chance.

I agree. But that is the fun thing with risks. But if you want to collect data sure... If we go back on topip: is this a large sample of data enough to tell if dragons are bugged?

I don't know- I myself do not normally experience this, but if it is common, there very well may be a problem. I'm going to start collecting my rolls on dragons- I will not screenshot them, I believe I can be trusted on this.

[Guest77]

Technically, let's say that the dragons are being used against a neutral race. So they have the 5% attack bonus vs. a regular defense bonus and a 5% defense bonus vs. a regular attack bonus.

This means that they should win both attacks and defends more often than not. I'll try to keep an 8v8 tally of how many I win/lose and against what other bonuses. I'll see what I come up with percentage wise.

[calleharnemark]

Technically, let's say that the dragons are being used against a neutral race. So they have the 5% attack bonus vs. a regular defense bonus and a 5% defense bonus vs. a regular attack bonus.

This means that they should win both attacks and defends more often than not. I'll try to keep an 8v8 tally of how many I win/lose and against what other bonuses. I'll see what I come up with percentage wise.

Actually I thinnk it means they should win at least one out of 20 rolls. Not necessarily more...

[Ratburntro44]

In 8v8 against neutral race, dragons have 52.6% attacking and 58.7% defending.

[calleharnemark]

In 8v8 against neutral race, dragons have 52.6% attacking and 58.7% defending.

Wait, that sounds like a lot... those odds seems too good to me to get so many complaints.

[Ratburntro44]

Other Att Chances for Dragons against neutral:
7v7: 52.4%
6v6: 51.2%
5v5: 48.1%
4v4: 45.9%
3v3: 45.3%
2v2: 44.4%

Def:
7v7: 58.7%
6v6: 57.1%
5v5: 54.9%
4v4: 54.1%
3v3: 54.8%
2v2: 55.8%

My stats are from simulations, not actual calculations, so they aren't exact.

[calleharnemark]

Other Att Chances for Dragons against neutral:
7v7: 52.4%
6v6: 51.2%
5v5: 48.1%
4v4: 45.9%
3v3: 45.3%
2v2: 44.4%

Def:
7v7: 58.7%
6v6: 57.1%
5v5: 54.9%
4v4: 54.1%
3v3: 54.8%
2v2: 55.8%

My stats are from simulations, not actual calculations, so they aren't exact.

Lol, People complain with these odds cause they think they lose too much?
Could you check them with boosts?

[Ratburntro44]

Other Att Chances for Dragons against neutral:
7v7: 52.4%
6v6: 51.2%
5v5: 48.1%
4v4: 45.9%
3v3: 45.3%
2v2: 44.4%

Def:
7v7: 58.7%
6v6: 57.1%
5v5: 54.9%
4v4: 54.1%
3v3: 54.8%
2v2: 55.8%

My stats are from simulations, not actual calculations, so they aren't exact.

Lol, People complain with these odds cause they think they lose too much?
Could you check them with boosts?

http://samrush.net/apps/dice/dice.php

The reason people complain is because they believe that the odds aren't actually working out like that.

[Guest77]

So far I've won 1/4 8v8's recording all of them as I go.